Switzerland—the rediscovered safe haven

I. What is important for fund investors

  •  The net stock ratio is at around 80%.
  • The investment target of a performance on or above the level of the indexes Stoxx Europe 600 and DAX with a much lower volatility has been fully achieved last month.
  • The focuses of the investment topics have not been changed significantly in May compared to April. The existing selection proved very positive for the price development of the fund in May, and we expect this trend to continue over the next months.
  • The risk management system continues to be GREEN for the stock exchange markets.

II. Switzerland: status as safe haven restored

Normalcy has found its way back into the stock exchanges. In periods of decreasing risk appetite at the stock exchanges, investors look for the protection that Switzerland offers. The deviant development in March and April apparently was an unusual and temporary situation.

The Euro has now fully relinquished its gains after the election in Italy.

The negative impact of the unusually weak Swiss response on the development of the Mellinckrodt fund price shows clearly in the course of the price. The lagging fund price has not yet fully caught up to the other, less Switzerland-based funds. However, in the first days of June, the positive development has already continued.

The most important portfolio adjustment in May at the beginning of the month was the further expansion of our positions in the topic areas of vacuum, semiconductors, and robotics. The focus of this topic area remains the American value tech stocks.

Lam Research, which we discussed more extensively in our last fund information, fully met our expectations in May. The oil stocks showed a weak tendency in the past weeks—concurrently with the from our perspective temporary consolidation of petroleum prices.

You will see in the depicted portfolio structure that the investment quota has increased from slightly over 70% to almost 80% compared to the previous month. In the past days we have raised the cash quota toward 10%.

Outlook

The euro crisis isn’t over yet but has merely been postponed. The decision-makers are either new in office (Italy/Spain) or prefer to just “wing it” (Berlin/Brussels). A euro crisis can, of course, come on the agenda again at any time, for example if the topic Iran sanctions escalates and this, as a result, negatively impacts the economic cycle in Europe. But at the moment the trend is determined less by topics and more by market technique. Although the latter continues to be GREEN, it doesn’t mean that the DAX will always remain over 12,000 points over the entire summer. Set-backs are possible at any time.


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Georg Oehm

Georg Oehm founded Mellinckrodt & Cie, in Zug, Switzerland, in 2008. He served as general manager and partner in a financial communications boutique in Frankfurt am Main, founded the CFD Association e.V. and served as its first general manager. He worked in business development and in the M&A business at the Metallgesellschaft AG for five years, followed by a five-year tenure in the field of special restructuring projects. From 2011, he was a member of the administrative board at the Zenergy Power Plc and at the Synety Group Plc from April 2011 to January 2016. Dr. Oehm serves as chairman of the advisory board at InCity Immobilien AG. He completed his Ph.D. at the University of Kiel, department of economics and social sciences. He started his career as a banking apprentice at the Dresdner Bank in Frankfurt am Main. Subsequently, he earned a degree in business administration in Mainz and Kiel.

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